Having lost the by-election
in the previously-safe Conservative Welsh seat of Brecon and
Radnorshire, the Remain coalition of Liberal Democrats, Greens and the
Welsh nationalist party Plaid Cymru has demonstrated that Conservative
seats – even in Leave-leaning constituencies – can be won, as the 'Boris
bounce' fails to annihilate the Brexit Party, and the weakness of the
Labour party fuels a Liberal surge.
With a majority of just one in the House of Commons, it takes only two Tory defectors to carry a motion of no confidence in Boris Johnson.
This will happen, and the prime minister knows it.
So when actively preparing for a hard Brexit on October 31st, Johnson is right to say it is less likely to happen.
Not – as he claims – since the EU will budge, but because two or more heroes or traitors, depending on one's point of view, will defect and bring down his government to prevent no-deal Brexit from happening.
The interesting question is what happens next?
In any case, a hard Halloween Brexit on October 31st seems increasingly unlikely.
Read more at: UK MPs' maths means election, not no-deal Brexit
With a majority of just one in the House of Commons, it takes only two Tory defectors to carry a motion of no confidence in Boris Johnson.
This will happen, and the prime minister knows it.
So when actively preparing for a hard Brexit on October 31st, Johnson is right to say it is less likely to happen.
Not – as he claims – since the EU will budge, but because two or more heroes or traitors, depending on one's point of view, will defect and bring down his government to prevent no-deal Brexit from happening.
The interesting question is what happens next?
In any case, a hard Halloween Brexit on October 31st seems increasingly unlikely.
Read more at: UK MPs' maths means election, not no-deal Brexit
