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| European politicians frozen in time on unity | 
During the heady months of 2004, Brussels 
was the place to be. The EU was the organization to join. Europe was 
brimming with optimism and confidence.
On May 1 of that year, eight countries from Eastern and Central 
Europe became EU members. Poland’s Mission to the EU threw a marvelous 
party. There was a cacophony of languages. There was dancing, singing, 
and a real sense of relief. Poland and other countries in the region had
 returned to Europe.
There was also a sense that this bigger, united EU was ready to exert
 its influence beyond its borders. Almost twelve years later, that 
Europe is hardly recognizable.
Europe has retreated into its shell. With the exception of Angela Merkel,
 the German chancellor, and her finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, 
both of whom understand what is happening to Europe, EU leaders are 
acting as if they have no obligation to defend Europe’s values and the 
principles of freedom and openness. More worryingly, they don’t seem to 
care about the EU’s influence in the world.
This is confirmed by a new report by the World Economic Forum called Europe: What to watch out for in 2016-2017.
 To say it makes grim reading is an understatement. “European leaders 
must deliver solutions, and fast, if they want to prevent support for 
the EU [from] imploding in coming years,” the report states.
The EU has always had its share of doomsayers. But what is 
particularly worrying about this report is the Eurobarometer survey it 
cites. Respondents were asked what were the most important issues facing
 the EU at the moment. The first in the list was migration, mentioned by
 some 58 percent of those surveyed.
The last was the EU’s influence in 
the world, cited by about 6 percent. What a depressing indictment of 
Europe’s priorities: influence doesn’t matter.
The report also reflects how the EU’s influence inside Europe is 
waning, and this is more troubling. If the EU’s role is weakening or if 
the bloc is less attractive even to its own members, how can the EU have
 influence beyond its borders?
The EU’s values are under threat in many member states. The Polish, 
Hungarian, and Slovene publics are intent on upholding the role of the 
traditional family only months after the Irish, once a bastion of 
Catholicism, voted in a referendum to legalize gay marriage. Warsaw and 
Budapest are meddling in the courts and the media—not that Italy’s 
former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi had any qualms over how he used 
his media empire to further his own interests.
The members of the Visegrad Group,
 which consists of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, and Slovakia, 
want nothing to do with the refugees (read Muslims) fleeing the wars in 
Syria and Iraq. They are not alone. Other countries across Europe are 
closing their borders too, mostly in response to the growing appeal of 
populists who are Euroskeptic, oppose immigration, and fear 
globalization. The November 2015 terrorist attacks in Paris gave the 
populists a boost.
Those issues aside, the refugee crisis
 has exposed the inability of the EU to deal with the challenge of 
migration. Above all, it has shown that most European leaders do not see
 the connection between helping the refugees and the EU’s influence.
Refugees, migrants, and students who are offered the opportunity to 
live, work, and study in a democratic country give something back to 
that country if they remain and integrate. As the Economist
 argued in its January 29 issue, if migrants and students return to 
their homeland with new skills, they are more likely to do business with
 the country that welcomed them.
Other reports make similar arguments about Europe’s dwindling influence. The Eurasia Group’s Top Risks 2016
 includes a chapter called “Closed Europe.” In it, authors Ian Bremmer 
and Cliff Kupchan argue that the rise of populism and nationalism, the 
erosion of the rule of law, and the risks to the Schengen system of open
 borders are chiseling away at the principles on which the EU was 
founded. “Closed Europe is first and foremost a Europe that closes 
itself up to the outside world, and whose countries close themselves up 
to one another,” the authors write.
Merkel is key to the EU’s future and influence. She has kept the 
eurozone countries afloat, although the single currency’s woes are far 
from over. She has kept the EU together in standing up to Russia despite
 wavering from her Social Democrat coalition partners and other EU 
leaders. She has tried to preserve Europe’s values of humanity and 
decency through her open-door policy toward the refugees.
Yet for all that, Merkel has been pilloried by several European 
leaders. She has been denied the solidarity that Germany had 
unflinchingly extended to its EU allies when asked. As a report by Citi GPS
 argues, the basic tenets of the European model of liberal democracy 
that Merkel is trying to defend are being challenged. And with it, 
Europe’s influence.
 
Read 
 more: Europe’s Declining Influence, Europe’s Growing Illiberalism - 
Carnegie Europe - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace