If
 you had assumed that the Netherlands would just always be good at 
soccer, this was an understandable leap in logic to make. After all, the
 Dutch had been good for so long – pretty much continuously since the 
early 1970s – that it seemed a given, in spite of sourcing their 
national team from a population that only recently reached 17 million.
If
 you had assumed that the Netherlands would just always be good at 
soccer, this was an understandable leap in logic to make. After all, the
 Dutch had been good for so long – pretty much continuously since the 
early 1970s – that it seemed a given, in spite of sourcing their 
national team from a population that only recently reached 17 million.
But as the noted analytics maven Michael Caley
 points out, what’s actually noteworthy isn’t that the Dutch are now no 
longer good. What’s remarkable is that they didn’t turn bad sooner.
And
 for the record, they are now bad. While Oranje reached the semifinals 
of the World Cup for a second time in a row in 2014 – placing third in 
Brazil, four years after coming second in South Africa – things have 
spiraled hopelessly out of control since. Manager Louis van Gaal, the 
architect of the World Cup success with a tactical scheme that masked 
the issues of a lopsided team – brilliant in the attack; full of 
liabilities in defense – left for Manchester United and was succeeded by
 Guus Hiddink, an inspirational coach but famously a tactical 
lightweight.
Under
 Hiddink, the Dutch made a halting 3-2-1 (W-L-T) start to Euro 2016 
qualifying before the veteran manager was fired. His successor, Danny 
Blind, has somehow had a 12-year run as either head coach or assistant 
manager of his old club and the national team, without ever 
demonstrating any particular aptitude for it. The Netherlands missed the
 Euros under him – even though it was expanded from 16 to 24 teams — 
coming fourth in a six-team group, behind Iceland, the Czech Republic 
and Turkey, respectively.
Blind
 was allowed to stay on, for some reason, and the side kept on 
stumbling, getting off to a 2-2-1 start to World Cup qualifying. The 
Dutch again sit in fourth place, below France, Sweden and Bulgaria – who
 comfortably won 2-0 at home against the three-time World Cup runners-up
 on Friday. Blind was fired on Sunday.
But
 while there are five more qualifiers to play, it already feels like 
it’s too late to recover and make it to Russia next summer. The play has
 been so poor that it simply seems unrealistic to climb above Sweden and
 even Bulgaria – which hasn’t been to a World Cup since 1998 – a 
sentiment only confirmed by the sad display in Tuesday’s 2-1 friendly 
loss to Italy, which isn’t exactly a world superpower at the moment 
either.
Just
 as problematically, there is no apparently good choice to replace Blind
 – who was appointed not just to assist Hiddink in 2014, but to succeed 
him after the Euros, a succession plan that looks ridiculously premature
 and hubristic in retrospect. The two best Dutch managers currently out 
there aren’t interested. Ronald Koeman wanted the job in 2014 but was 
only offered Blind’s assistant-successor arrangement. He turned it down 
and has since thrived with Southampton and Everton in the Premier 
League. Frank de Boer wants to make amends on the club level after 
flaming out with Inter Milan, following a wildly successful spell at 
Ajax.
Louis
 van Gaal has demurred on a return – he’d rather run the entire 
federation instead. Which leaves the 69-year-old Dick Advocaat as the 
least uninspired of the Dutch options, although neither of his two 
previous spells as Holland manager lived up to expectations – a 
quarterfinal finish at the ’94 World Cup and a semifinal berth at Euro 
’04, when more was expected.
Alternatively,
 the country that once consistently produced some of the best managers 
in the sport would have to go with a foreigner – in itself an indictment
 on the state of the Dutch game.
Either way, the material at the new boss’s disposal is limited in every 
line. And this is the crux of the problem. The golden generation that 
played from Euro ’96 through the 2006 World Cup was succeeded by the 
foursome of Robin van Persie, Arjen Robben, Wesley Sneijder and Rafael van der Vaart, whose transcendent attacking talents compensated for the dearth of decent defenders.












