Three days ago, Malaysia
Airlines flight MH370 vanished from radar off the south coast of Vietnam
in the South China Sea. 239 people were on board — and at this point,
it is presumed that they have all perished in some kind of disaster. A
massive search and rescue effort involving 40 ships and 34 aircraft from
nine different nations has yet to discover any sign of the missing
aircraft. For me, this is almost incomprehensible:
Despite all of the
awesome technology that mankind has developed, it’s still possible for a
Boeing 777-200 with 239 people on board to
vanish. For me,
it’s mind blowing that all we have to go on is the plane’s radar
signature — and even then, that last radar reading was so poor that the
search area is thousands of square miles of open water. Surely, given
the fact that we can track a damn
smartphone anywhere on Earth down to a few meters, there’s a better way of keeping track of missing aircraft?
In
the words of Malaysia’s civil aviation chief, the fate of MH370 is “a
mystery.” The Boeing 777 took off from Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia en route
to Beijing, was cruising normally at 35,000 feet… and then disappeared.
There was no distress call. The weather was fine. The plane’s last
known position, via radar, was just south of Vietnam in the South China
Sea — which is where search efforts have been focused so far — but one
theory suggests that the plane turned back just after the last radar
ping, meaning the plane could be hundreds of miles away in the Strait of
Malacca. In the absence of any other information, there is speculation
that the plane was target of a terrorist attack.
For me, the most shocking aspect
of the MH370 disaster is that we won’t know what fate befell those 239
souls until we find MH370′s Flight Data Recorder (FDR), aka the black
box. Except for that last radar reading, we have absolutely no knowledge
of the flight at all until we find that FDR. We have no clue what was
said in the cockpit by the captain and first officer — though,
seemingly, if something did go wrong, they didn’t even have time to send
a mayday message. We have no clue if the plane hit a patch of bad
weather, or whether it was hijacked. It really will be one huge mystery
until the FDR is recovered — and there’s a good chance, if MH370 did
crash into the ocean, that the FDR will never be recovered. In the case
of Air France flight AF447, which disappeared off the coast of Brazil,
it took two months to locate the wreckage, more than a year to find the
Cockpit Voice Recorder (CVR), and the FDR was never found.
So, think about this for a
moment. We live in a day and age where GPS (and other radio
triangulation methods) can track your smartphone to within a few meters,
almost anywhere on Earth. With dedicated, land-based tracking networks,
vehicles and devices can be tracked to within a few centimeters. Even
in the absence of GPS or radio tracking, inertial guidance (dead
reckoning) has been accurate enough since the ’60s to accurately land a
nuclear ICBM on the other side of the planet, or put the Apollo mission
into space. (Read:
Think GPS is cool? IPS will blow your mind.)
And then there’s
connectivity.
On land, there are networks (both commercial and governmental) that
provide data connectivity almost everywhere. Over water is definitely
harder, but satellites do provide pretty good coverage — and yes, that
particular region of Asia is very well covered by communications
satellites. Finally, even if an aircraft is out of satellite/radio
coverage, there is absolutely nothing preventing the airplane from
transmitting a really juicy low-frequency radio signal that could be
picked up thousands of miles away. This is how they communicate with air
traffic control, after all.
Why, then, does a plane like the
MH370 keep all of its secrets locked up in a black box? Why don’t planes
constantly transmit all of their black box data, so that we know their
exact location, bearing, altitude, and other important factors, at all
times?
The short answer is, there’s no good reason.
Read more: The mystery of flight MH370: How on earth, with all our technology, do we lose a giant plane? | ExtremeTech