Sanctions: EU may consider lift of anti-Russia sanctions if Ukraine’s territorial integrity preserved

The European Union may consider the possibility of lifting its sanctions against Russia if Ukraine’s territorial integrity is preserved, German Chancellor Angela Merkel said on Friday.

“We’ll see whether there is any progress in this direction. Then we can move towards lifting the sanctions,” she told a news conference after a meeting of EU leaders in Brussels.

Merkel stressed that the EU imposed its sanctions on Russia in response to developments in Ukraine and the sanctions could be removed if the cause for imposing them was eliminated. She also said she hoped that EU countries would have a consolidated position if it was necessary to extend the sanctions.

A diplomatic source in Brussels said on Friday heads of state and government from the 28-nation European Union will consider the fulfilment of the Minsk peace agreements and the possibility of lifting the bloc’s sanctions against Russia at a summit in March 2015. “Certain sanctions against Russia may be lifted at an EU summit in Brussels in March,” the source told TASS.

French President Francois Hollande also said there was no need at present to tighten European Union sanctions against Russia. “We expect there is no reason to take new sanctions and we also are going to look how we could engage in a de-escalation,” Hollande told journalists after the meeting in Brussels.

Read more: TASS: World - EU may consider lift of anti-Russia sanctions if Ukraine’s territorial integrity preserved

US-Cuba Relations: Obama hails 'new chapter' in US-Cuba ties

US President Barack Obama has hailed a "new chapter" in US relations with Cuba, announcing moves to normalise diplomatic and economic ties.

Mr Obama said the plans represented the "most significant changes in US policy towards Cuba in 50 years".

The US is looking to open an embassy in Havana in the coming months, he said. The moves are part of a deal that saw the release of American Alan Gross by Cuba and includes the release of three Cubans jailed in
Florida for spying.

Mr Gross arrived at Andrews Air Force Base near Washington  from Cuba on Wednesday. Footage showed him disembarking from a US government plane onto the tarmac where he was met by a crowd.

The US president announced measures that he said would end an "outdated approach that for decades has failed to advance our interests".

The plans set out in a White House statement also includes:

Reviewing the designation of Cuba as a state sponsor of terrorism

• Easing a travel ban for US citizens
• Easing financial restrictions
• Increasing telecommunications links
• Efforts to lift the 54-year-old trade embargo

Note EU-Digest:  Bravo President Obama - this was long overdue and will be fantastic for business and eventually lead to democratization in Cuba. This normalization is not any different from the relationship the US has with China, Russia or any other communist or dictatorial regime .

Read more: BBC News - Obama hails 'new chapter' in US-Cuba ties

Posted by EU-Digest at 1:07 PM

Belgium: Wage Cuts And Austerity Have Come To Belgium

Today, trade unions in Belgium are organising a general national strike. This will come on top of 3 days of regional strikes as well as a national manifestation, all of which have been massively followed up by workers over the past month. Moreover, the trade union leadership is considering to continue with such actions in the new year. For Belgium, with its tradition of social dialogue, this is rather unheard of and to see similar intense trade union action one has to go 20 years back.

Belgian workers have however every reason to be upset. The conservative government, having taken up power recently, is applying an austerity program of such depth that it reminds one of the brutal austerity policies that have been pursued in in many other European member states. Policies that have triggered the long European recession of 2011-2012. The total austerity package proposed amounts to some 11 billion euro or close to 3% of GDP.

Looking at the measures that are in the pipeline, both workers and unemployed people will face austerity from the cradle to the grave. There are cuts in childcare benefits, substantially increased childcare costs and (higher) education fees as well as swinging cuts in the educational budget and public services in general. Next year, workers will be forced to undergo a real wage cut of 2% while collective bargaining on wage increases is outlawed for the coming two years. Unemployment benefit systems are being hollowed out in many different ways and at the end of their active life, workers will have to work longer (to the age of 67) before being entitled to (reduced) pensions.

In all of these measures, the pressure is on wages while income from capital is not touched at all. On the contrary! On top of the 2% imposed cut in real wages comes a huge reduction in employer social security contributions. Business will enjoy a transfer of 4 billion euro or more than 1% of GDP.

Read more: Wage Cuts And Austerity Have Come To Belgium

Energy: The Dangerous Energy Poker Game:Between Saudi Arabia, Iran, Syria, Russia and the USA

Geo-Political Poker Game Or Saudi Blackmail?

"After two years of stable prices at around $105 to $110 a barrel, Brent blend, the international benchmark fell from $112 a barrel in June to around $65 on Friday, December 12 . “What is the reason for the United States and some U.S. allies wanting to drive down the price of oil?” Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro asked rhetorically in October. His answer? “To harm Russia.” - says Mohamad Bazzi in a report he wrote for Reuters

That is partially true, but Saudi Arabia’s gambit is more complex.

The kingdom has two targets in its latest oil war: it is trying to squeeze U.S. shale oil—which requires higher prices to remain competitive with conventional production—out of the market. More broadly, the Saudis are also punishing two rivals, Russia and Iran, for their support of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in the Syrian civil war. Since the Syrian uprising began in 2011, regional and world powers have played out a series of proxy battles there.

While Saudi Arabia and Qatar have been arming many of the Syrian rebels, the Iranian regime—and to a lesser extent, Russia—have provided the weapons and funding to keep Assad in power.

Russia and Iran are highly dependent on stable oil prices. By many estimates, Russia needs prices at around $100 a barrel to meet its budget commitments. Iran, facing Western sanctions and economic isolation, needs even higher prices. Already, Iran has taken an economic hit from Saudi actions.

On Nov. 30, as a result of OPEC’s decision not to increase production, the Iranian rial dropped nearly six percent against the dollar.

The Saudis believe it can protect itself from the impact of the price drops. It can always increase oil production to make up for falling prices, or soften the blow of lower profits by accessing some of its $750 billion stashed in foreign reserves.

Still, Saudi Arabia is playing a dangerous game—there is little evidence that authoritarian regimes like Russia and Iran would change their behavior under economic pressure. Worse, the Saudi policy could backfire, making Russia and especially Iran more intransigent in countering Saudi influence in the Middle East.

In the meantime  OPEC Gulf members and crisis-hit producer Russia held the line on resisting oil output cuts, a message that helped send oil to a fresh five-year low on Tuesday December 16.

A near-$20 drop in prices since OPEC declined to cut output at a Nov. 27 meeting has yet to prompt the Gulf members - who overruled calls for output cuts by poorer members such as Venezuela - to reverse course.

Russia has said it would not cut production even if oil prices fell below $60 per barrel - far below some $100 a barrel it needs to balance its budget - a message reinforced on Tuesday by energy minister Alexander Novak arriving at a gas producers summit in Qatar.

"If we cut, the importer countries will increase their production and this will mean a loss of our niche market," he told reporters, speaking through an interpreter.

"We plan to preserve the plan for 2014 production without any increase or decrease," he said.
His comments came as the rouble fell to a new all-time low despite the central bank's steep rate hike on Monday.

Oil prices dropped to below $59 per barrel on Tuesday for the first time since 2009 and are now down almost by a half since June due to weak demand and growing supply from the United States.

The collapse of the rouble and plunging oil revenue present one of the biggest challenges for President Vladimir Putin during his 15-year rule at a time when the Russian economy is already struggling under Western sanctions over Ukraine.

Novak said Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia, will maintain its output levels even if there was no guarantee prices would not go much lower.

"No one will tell you this," Novak said when asked what was the floor for oil prices.
He also said Russia agreed with the view of Saudi Arabia that the oil market would eventually stabilize itself.

What is certain however is that the oil market and the world economy  faces an uncertain outlook in 2015 as tumbling oil prices resulting from global oversupply stoke geopolitical tensions in key producers of crude, analysts say.

In fact, if no one eventually blinks in this rapidly deteriorating volatile energy based geo-political dispute, it potentially has the ability to escalate on a global scale and turn into a military conflict involving all super powers which, without any doubt, would mean the end of civilization as we know it.

EU-Digest

"Politiek Nederland is in feite een kruidenierszaak": Het onpolitieke van de politiek in Nederland - door Arnold J. van der Kluft

De
enige kritisch theoreticus in Nederland die enigszins als “publieke
intellectueel” beschouwd kan worden, Willem Schinkel, heeft rondweg
gezegd en geschreven dat alle politieke partijen in Nederland op D66
willen lijken. Zoals Unilever ooit een stuk of tien, twaalf
margarinemerken in de schappen hield, zo heeft D66 merken variërend van
een goed-christelijke variant als de ChristenUnie tot en met de
proletig-protofascistische PVV in het schap van de Tweede Kamer. Als het
er op aankomt zijn ze allemaal voor privatisering van openbare
voorzieningen en als hervorming aangeduide afbraak van opgebouwde
sociale verworvenheden – of het nu de AOW is of het fenomeen algemeen
bindende CAO. Slechts twee partijen vallen buiten deze consensus, de
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij en de Partij voor de Dieren. Door
constructieve oppositie te zijn bij het huidige kabinet heeft de SGP
zich inmiddels ook aan D66 geconformeerd. De groene, overwegend
vrouwelijke, diervriendelijke partij blijft als enig buitenbeentje over.
De meeste mensen houden zich nu eenmaal aan de margarinemerken van D66,
of ze keren zich af van wat “de politiek” heet. Terecht, omdat “de
politiek” allang niet meer om verschillende mogelijkheden van vormgeving
van de maatschappij gaat. Het ging in Nederland meestal al om tienden
van procenten, nu is zelfs dat niet meer zo – het gaat er nu vooral om:
wie scheldt er het netst of het onnetst op de “allochtoon” – een woord
dat ik nog in “de politiek” geïntroduc - See more at:
http://www.krapuul.nl/overig/blog/833747/het-onpolitieke-van-de-politiek-in-nederland/#sthash.OqKgAES8.dpuf

De
enige kritisch theoreticus in Nederland die enigszins als “publieke
intellectueel” beschouwd kan worden, Willem Schinkel, heeft rondweg
gezegd en geschreven dat alle politieke partijen in Nederland op D66
willen lijken. Zoals Unilever ooit een stuk of tien, twaalf
margarinemerken in de schappen hield, zo heeft D66 merken variërend van
een goed-christelijke variant als de ChristenUnie tot en met de
proletig-protofascistische PVV in het schap van de Tweede Kamer. Als het
er op aankomt zijn ze allemaal voor privatisering van openbare
voorzieningen en als hervorming aangeduide afbraak van opgebouwde
sociale verworvenheden – of het nu de AOW is of het fenomeen algemeen
bindende CAO. Slechts twee partijen vallen buiten deze consensus, de
Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij en de Partij voor de Dieren. Door
constructieve oppositie te zijn bij het huidige kabinet heeft de SGP
zich inmiddels ook aan D66 geconformeerd. De groene, overwegend
vrouwelijke, diervriendelijke partij blijft als enig buitenbeentje over.
De meeste mensen houden zich nu eenmaal aan de margarinemerken van D66,
of ze keren zich af van wat “de politiek” heet. Terecht, omdat “de
politiek” allang niet meer om verschillende mogelijkheden van vormgeving
van de maatschappij gaat. Het ging in Nederland meestal al om tienden
van procenten, nu is zelfs dat niet meer zo – het gaat er nu vooral om:
wie scheldt er het netst of het onnetst op de “allochtoon” – een woord
dat ik nog in “de politiek” geïntroduc - See more at:
http://www.krapuul.nl/overig/blog/833747/het-onpolitieke-van-de-politiek-in-nederland/#sthash.OqKgAES8.dpuf

De enige kritisch theoreticus in Nederland die enigszins als “publieke intellectueel” beschouwd kan worden, Willem Schinkel, heeft rondweg gezegd en geschreven dat alle politieke partijen in Nederland op D66 willen lijken.

Zoals Unilever ooit een stuk of tien, twaalf margarinemerken in de schappen hield, zo heeft D66 merken variërend van een goed-christelijke variant als de ChristenUnie tot en met de proletig
protofascistische PVV in het schap van de Tweede Kamer.

Als het er op aankomt zijn ze allemaal voor privatisering van openbare voorzieningen en als hervorming aangeduide afbraak van opgebouwde sociale verworvenheden – of het nu de AOW is of het fenomeen algemeen bindende CAO. Slechts twee partijen vallen buiten deze consensus, de Staatkundig Gereformeerde Partij en de Partij voor de Dieren. Door constructieve oppositie te zijn bij het huidige kabinet heeft de SGP zich inmiddels ook aan D66 geconformeerd.

De groene, overwegend vrouwelijke, diervriendelijke partij blijft als enig buitenbeentje over. De meeste mensen houden zich nu eenmaal aan de margarinemerken van D66, of ze keren zich af van wat “de politiek” heet. Terecht, omdat “de politiek” allang niet meer om verschillende mogelijkheden van vormgeving van de maatschappij gaat.

\Het ging in Nederland meestal al om tienden van procenten, nu is zelfs dat niet meer zo – het gaat er nu vooral om: wie scheldt er het netst of het onnetst op de “allochtoon” – een woord dat ik nog in “de politiek” geïntroduceerd heb zien worden. Toen ging het er om krakers en actievoerders v/m in de Amsterdamse Nieuwmarktbuurt verdacht te maken: dat waren geen autochtone buurtbewoners. Menigeen moest een woordenboek ter hand nemen om te kijken waar dit over ging. Veertig jaar geleden. -

Klik hier voor het volledige verslag - Het onpolitieke van de politiek in Nederland | Krapuul

Turkey: - Egypt: The Slow Slide Toward Dictatorship Taking Place in Egypt and Turkey

Supporters of the governments of Egypt and Turkey have become adept at telling the world that under presidents Abdel Fattah al-Sisi and Recep Tayyip Erdogan respectively, these countries are making progress toward more open and just
political systems.

In reality, they are nothing more than tin-pot dictatorships.< Over the weekend, Egyptian authorities detained, questioned, and deported my friend and colleague Michele Dunne as she sought to enter Egypt at the invitation of the Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs.

Michele, who is the most well-respected Egypt analyst in Washington, has not been shy in her criticism of the Egyptian government.

Not to be outdone, yesterday the Turks arrested 27 people including journalists, TV producers, and police commanders on terrorism charges. All of the detainees are either members or suspected members of the Gulen movement.

Fethullah Gulen and his followers were at one time allied with Erdogan and his Justice and Development Party, working together, for example, to subordinate the armed forces to civilian leaders, though at the expense of the rule of law and due process.

Note EU-Digest: the economies of both Egypt and Turkey have also taken a hit and are expected decline even more. The number of unemployed has also steadily increased in both countries.

 read more: The Slow Slide Toward Dictatorship Taking Place in Egypt and Turkey - Defense One

Turkey media arrests: Erdogan rejects EU criticism of Turkey curbing Press Freedom

Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has lashed out at the European Union after it criticised the mass arrest of opposition journalists at the weekend.

"The EU should mind its own business and keep its own opinions to itself," Mr Erdogan said, denying that the raids had infringed press freedom.

EU leaders have said the arrests were incompatible with "European values".

At least 24 journalists said to have close links with a US-based cleric are being held for plotting to seize power.

Sunday's raids targeted the Zaman newspaper and Samanyolu TV channel, which are described as close to Islamic cleric Fethullah Gulen, the spiritual leader of the Hizmet movement.

A former ally of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Mr Gulen - who lives in self-imposed exile - is accused of running a "parallel state" within Turkey.

Read more: BBC News - Turkey media arrests: Erdogan rejects EU criticism